Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 889.773582 1010.170891 1145.640825 1310.301753 1506.293316 1733.686366 2019.772338
2025-03-16 708.199728 862.903268 1053.762295 1310.257693 1651.746396 2099.315193 2745.072443
2025-03-23 622.115507 791.311917 1012.291068 1329.011013 1783.314850 2431.302209 3464.439551
2025-03-30 540.814134 710.074306 940.747219 1288.046055 1816.248844 2623.059285 4022.192196
2025-04-06 479.810989 646.374801 881.408422 1250.086813 1839.451372 2795.165510 4583.053448
2025-04-13 429.210270 590.613173 825.057772 1205.793329 1841.126198 2927.111553 5103.350650
2025-04-20 407.693144 574.102548 823.612254 1244.752240 1982.510332 3322.898198 6238.838323
2025-04-27 383.276002 550.318856 807.617178 1256.583060 2077.346587 3652.448316 7349.883049
2025-05-04 364.203683 532.632442 798.798849 1278.363359 2192.475347 4045.555157 8751.183069
2025-05-11 346.210779 514.800197 787.503902 1293.569673 2296.671573 4439.516236 10319.456786
2025-05-18 336.012998 508.468714 794.414247 1342.160679 2475.255307 5041.498043 12741.860575
2025-05-25 322.304493 495.034295 787.550651 1363.466143 2600.358757 5552.515199 15177.731437
2025-06-01 305.733342 476.246445 770.879290 1366.486974 2693.403897 6030.411784 17882.684530
2025-06-08 288.018136 454.251199 746.648725 1351.856625 2745.661301 6424.332709 20602.990066
2025-06-15 277.044683 443.047770 740.943125 1374.280754 2889.681836 7122.817470 25146.372869
2025-06-22 258.913110 417.739843 706.443045 1330.989094 2863.277214 7308.948906 27584.465667
2025-06-29 242.906045 395.188145 675.364165 1291.523259 2839.929480 7500.790147 30266.721212
2025-07-06 227.513839 372.792431 642.874312 1245.342936 2791.327061 7598.677807 32586.080196
2025-07-13 222.861583 369.882637 648.384428 1285.946402 2986.250527 8606.122512 41571.452556
2025-07-20 215.545797 361.456402 642.088001 1298.277523 3105.021015 9393.306517 50447.461123
2025-07-27 209.734600 355.479578 640.240500 1320.983933 3259.725368 10394.717918 62963.637264
2025-08-03 203.645584 348.554094 635.821441 1336.839308 3397.874087 11401.384591 78017.946636
2025-08-10 200.930542 348.009249 644.776268 1387.518697 3659.495219 13107.322341 105789.483628